Written Assignment 6

The assignment should be submitted via Blackboard

Task 1 (30 points)

Figure 1: A decision tree for estimating whether the patron will be willing to wait for a table at a restaurant.

Part a: Suppose that, on the entire set of training samples available for constructing the decision tree of Figure 1, 80 people decided to wait, and 20 people decided not to wait. What is the initial entropy at node A (before the test is applied)?

Part b: As mentioned in the previous part, at node A 80 people decided to wait, and 20 people decided not to wait.

What is the information gain for the weekend test at node A?

Part c: In the decision tree of Figure 1, node E uses the exact same test (whether it is weekend or not) as node A. What is the information gain, at node E, of using the weekend test?

Part d: We have a test case of a hungry patron who came in on a rainy Tuesday. Which leaf node does this test case end up in? What does the decision tree output for that case?

Part e: We have a test case of a not hungry patron who came in on a sunny Saturday. Which leaf node does this test case end up in? What does the decision tree output for that case?


Task 2 (20 points)

  Class     A     B     C  
X 1 2 1
X 2 1 2
X 3 2 2
X 1 3 3
X 1 2 2
Y 2 1 1
Y 3 1 1
Y 2 2 2
Y 3 3 1
Y 2 1 1

We want to build a decision tree that determines whether a certain pattern is of type X or type Y. The decision tree can only use tests that are based on attributes A, B, and C. Each attribute has 3 possible values: 1, 2, 3 (we do not apply any thresholding). We have the 10 training examples, shown on the table (each row corresponds to a training example).

What is the information gain of each attribute at the root? Which attribute achieves the highest information gain at the root?


Task 3 (20 points)

Let T1 be a decision tree with root node R1, and T2 be a decision tree with root node R2. We define that T1 and T2 are equal if and only if either of the following two cases is true: Suppose that we have a domain where every example consists of 5 boolean variables. We have a set X of decision trees for that domain, and no two elements of X are equal to each other. What is the largest possible number of elements for X? Justify your answer.


Task 4 (20 points)

Suppose that, at a node N of a decision tree, we have 1000 training examples. There are four possible class labels (A, B, C, D) for each of these training examples.

Part a: What is the highest possible and lowest possible entropy value at node N?

Part b: Suppose that, at node N, we choose an attribute K. What is the highest possible and lowest possible information gain for that attribute?


Task 5 (10 points)

Your boss at a software company gives you a binary classifier (i.e., a classifier with only two possible output values) that predicts, for any basketball game, whether the home team will win or not. This classifier has a 28% accuracy, and your boss assigns you the task of improving that classifier, so that you get an accuracy that is better than 60%. How do you achieve that task? Can you guarantee achieving better than 60% accuracy?